I just watched the film last night on Netflix and also finished reading through quite a bit of this thread (phew!). I had to sneak around my wife to watch it, because she hates films like this.
First of all, I loved the movie!
I am a college professor of computer science and teach mostly decision support systems. (If we were in a circle, this is where you would vote for me... lol). I often present my students with challenging thought scenarios like this. However, there were a few of the earlier Team Circle responses that actually disappointed me, so I am pointing them out in case they can be clarified or amplified:
1. That the aliens selected almost everyone in Earth's population to participate in a circle. That would have been unnecessary if the selection process were truly random. Statistically, a few thousand circles would tell a researcher almost everything they need to know. Not even a language criteria was used (evidenced by the spanish-speaking man), so stratification was likely not a concern of the aliens. Thinning out the population of Earth to less than 1/50th its size would be catastrophic to Earth, particularly if the remaining subjects include a high percentage of pregnant women and children.
2. That the aliens intentionally put specific subjects in a circle (e.g. pregnant women, children). Again, this manipulation would violate the randomness of the experiment. By the way, I am going under the assumption that the motivation for the circle is experimentation.
Now for my own observations/questions:
1. As I said earlier, I see the only purpose of the circle that of experimentation. It would tell the researcher right away which form of life on earth has higher intelligence. Simply understanding the rules is an indication. One could guess that there might have been a circle full of chimps or cows, which lasted....oh... about 2 minutes, and so on. I do not remember reading a response in the thread where it specifically said that the purpose of the circle was an experiment. Is that the case?
2. I could not help but read (perhaps too much) some decision/game theory into the film. For example, there was a lot of uncertainty into every decision, therefore, information and the value of information were the most valuable commodities to everyone in the circle. We see by the end shot that there is a higher probability for survivors to be selected based on preservation of self or preservation of moral values. If none of the subjects had said a word after the rules of the game were revealed, and no one knew anything about the others, the decisions would have likely been different and too random to help the experiment. That's why I believe that, after determining that humans were at the apex of intelligent life on earth, the aliens wanted to determine how humans manage information and knowledge, how knowledge is transferred, and how our own "humanity" (bias, tacit knowledge, etc.) affects the value of that new knowledge. I saw a lot of Gilboa, von Neumann, and Kahneman in this film. Was decision theory or game theory how the idea of the film was conceived?
3. The final scene. I did notice right away a high number of children and what appeared to be some pregnant women. However, I took away from that another thought. The idea that this was now another circle, at least in the proverbial/philosophical sense, since all these were survivors of other circles but still must figure out how to survive on earth. The groups of survivors would be made up mostly of manipulators, charity cases, and lucky strikers - Earth is doomed. Was this a consideration at all or am I reading too much into such a short scene?
By the way, that could make an interesting follow-up story having the survivors discuss among themselves how they came about to be survivors, probably resulting in a very similar pattern to the circle where some are "voted off" society, alliances are made, some people are protected, etc.
I could go on forever. This was a great film.
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