Even today I've read opinions that the Schweinfurt raids on the ball bearing factories were a not worth it, as in cost to effect, and therefore those raids in particular were a mistake in command. What do you think?
Not worth it. Brave attempt, though. But hindsight is 20/20. As I recall, the plan was to try and bring German production to halt with one massive raid, but the Germans had already dispersed much of it. It took the Eighth many months to recover the losses, especially in men. They lost something like 60 bombers -- 600 crew -- in one mission. Wow!!
The resources would have been better spent on tactical targets in preparation for D-Day, in my opinion.
Good topic, though. Schweinfurt almost brought an end to "daylight precision bombing."
Good intentions, but bad intel on the German supply of ball bearings (they had more than enough already). The underlying premise for the whole campaign was to take away Germany's ability to make war by hitting their armaments industry. Seeing as there weren't enough bombers to hit it all at once, they targetted what they thought to be vital parts of it. Sometimes they were wrong. The Schweinfurt raid is a perfect example of this. Sometimes they targeted the right things, such as the Ploesti raids, or the numerous attakcs on German transportation networks. I think Schweinfurt and many other failues were more a failure of intelligence than a failure in command.
Where the raids worth it? I suppose if one asks the loved ones of the men lost, probably not. If one anylizes the bomb damage data, maybe not. After the initial raid(s),(in Schweifurt and other locals), in 43' it was learned that the idea of tight formations of heavily armed bombers by themselves were not enough of a defense against fighter aircraft. Let's keep in mind the American concept of daylight precision bombing of strategic targets was just that, a concept. It easy to say in hindsight if this mission or that raid was worth it. Most of us are aware that the daylight,"Precision", raids prompted the germans to disperse thier manufacturing assets, making it virtually impossible to eliminate them. Schweinfurt was amoung the first of the raids to teach the germans this lesson. Imagine if these raids, and that bombing campaign, was never carried out. Leaving the enemy completely free to carry on un-interrupted manufacture. Yes, these raids did not destroy the germans manufacturing efforts, but it did cause a delay in production, however brief. The raids also caused more resources to be consumed in defense of the widely distributed facilities. And also in the transport of raw materials to the dispersed places, more trucks and trains were needed, consuming even more resources in this effort. In short, more gas and coal was guzzled, more anti-aircraft guns,(and thier crews), were posted to defend the industries of germany which meant that less resources and assets could be committed to the frontline. It is the quantative data that I try to illuminate. Not to mention the psychological effect on the leadership and workers, in essence, the,"Big Picture". My opinion is yes, the Schweinfurt raids were indeed worth it. My heart and soul goes out to those who payed the high price in delivering, and recieving, these lessons in strategic bombing.
It wasn't until the 8th AF Bomber forces had gotten both the escorts to keep the fighters off of them AND they had the strength to fly multiple targets on a daily basis & make good their losses that they could REALLY strike heavy blows against German industry...according to this new book that I read, the REAL chokepoint targets were: Oil & Hydrogenation plants, Train & rail concentrations that transported soft coal to power German industry & Electricity Generation plants; But....these targets had to be hit REPEATEDLY and OFTEN---it was a battle between the Bombers and the repair teams that tried to keep these facilities functioning; In the end, damage inflicted was too great & the raids too frequent for the repair teams to keep up with...
Albert Speer stated after the war the the one thing that really worrried him other than oil was ball bearings. IF the the 8th Air Force had been able to return to Schweinfurt quickly and deliver a crippling blow, German industry would have been brought to a halt. But after Bloody Thursday and the 1st Regensberg/Schweinfurt raid, it was just not going to happen.
The way the campaign was carried out versus the results given, no, probably a waste of men and machines. As pointed out elsewhere in this thread, the ball bearing factories were not a panacea target at that point in the war, and a concerted campaign would have definitely hurt Germany. The mission violated the principles of concentration of forces and maintaining the element surprise--in hindsight the 8th should have left Regensburg for another day and concentrated everything at Schweinfurt. The result would have been bloody, but not as catastrophic as hitting two targets hours apart with sufficient time for the German fighters to re-arm and re-fuel, and mass along the route (the original plan to split the defenses had failed due to fog). An immediate followup raid should also have been conducted, even though it likely would have incurred massive losses, because it would have precluded the October 14 raid.
As it was, Speer had to procure ball bearings from the Swedes in order to keep manufacturing going. A concentrated campaign would likely have achieved its goals--the Nazis were vulnerable. By the time the 8th got strong enough to return to Schweinfurt in February 1944, the ball bearing industry had been successfully dispersed.
The raids, even the parts that were successful, did not slow the German war machine much. For another success/failure see "The Dam Busters'. The British tried to take out three dams that were supplying the industrial Ruhr valley with power. They got two out of three with very brave men and suffered bad losses but the damage was repaired very quickly so the attack, though partly successful, failed to achieve what was hoped for the mission. The movie shows a LOT of ingenuity on the part of the Brits and would be interesting (at least to a guy like me) even without the attack climax.
Guys: IIRC, the 8th actually destroyed a Konserven Fabrik,(Along with the Bearing Plants as well..) that made apricot preserves or something like that. The Germans spent some time trying to figure out why, which in its way contributed to the war effort. The main error was, according to the after action reports, the lack of incindiery bombs. If the 8th had dropped them with the HE bombs, the wooden floors, oil soaked, would have burned better than they did. I think even the Germans realized this...In any case the Germans got the factories running again very quickly, becuse they did not burn completely..
Dale
"If those sweethearts won't face German bullets--They'll face french ones!"
My opinion is that the strategic bombing would have been a success had the command been able to concentrate on one or at most two industries, such as bearings & oil, or transportation and aircraft. As it was, everybody had a pet target and the effort was spread too thin. NO industry was totally disrupted. If 8th AF had repeatedly and exclusively taken out oil targets i think it would have been decisive. After '44 Me 162s couldn't be used effectly due to lack of fuel. Imagine if there had been NO fuel. For tanks, planes, trains, ect.
The 8th's campaign was successful when it's strength grew to the point that it could hit several 'chokepoint' type targets on consistent & repeated basis without regard to losses--the repeated point is important because they have to damage it faster than repair crews can fix it;
By chokepoint, I mean, Oil, Transportation, power-the latter two are particularly linked to each other--transports(rail/canal/road) had to transport coal to generate power for the factories; those three targets together were REAL panacea targets.
Exactly. Who ever was picking the targets, lacked the single-minded determination to totally eviserate ONE of several type targets. They kept letting themselves get distracted by various "crises" put forth by commanders who didn't understand the concepts of strategic bombing. What the 8th lacked was a Curtis Lemay.
"Even today I've read opinions that the Schweinfurt raids on the ball bearing factories were a not worth it, as in cost to effect, and therefore those raids in particular were a mistake in command. What do you think?"
This is a loaded question.
From what I understand, the question is exploring the strategic effects of two tactical missions:
14 August 1943 (Scwhweinfurt and Regensburg)
14 October 1943 (Schweinfurt)
In both missions, 60 heavy bombers were destroyed for a total of 120 aircraft lost.
The first mission on 14 August 1943, 17.14% of the force was destroyed and the second mission on 14 October 1943, 23.62% of the force was destroyed, the heaviest loss rate out of any mission over Germany by the U.S. Army Air Force in World War II.
The theory of the combat box, where heavy bombers flew in staggered formation to offer the maximum defensive protection while massing interlocking fire using the bombers' guns without fighter escort for 2 1/2 hours resulted in extremely high losses for VIII Bomber Command (predecessor to the Eighth Air Force before it was designated on 22 February 1944).
At the time of both missions, the fighter escorts (RAF Spitfires and USAAF P-47s) could not escort the bombers from England to the target over Germany and back to England due to the fighter's limited range.
Black Thursday (Second Schweinfurt Raid) resulted in suspension all daylight missions deep into Germany for four-months and for a time, the joint theory of Combined Bomber Offensive (Americans by Day and the British by Night) would come into question and teetered on the brink of failure.
Was it worth it?
To answer this question, you have to step back and examine a plethora of factors and ultimate outcomes at the strategic and tactical level.
VIII Bomber Command learned a valuable lesson that would change the way the organization would conduct future bombing missions.
If you send a massive daylight bomber raids deep into Germany without fighter escort, expect horrific losses.
The Short Answer:
Yes and No
The Long Answer:
As the Axis power became a true threat for the free world and Germany's expansion had spread well into Western Europe, the Allies came together in joint force with a single objective in mind and that was to gather all efforts to defeat the German war machine.
In doing so, the Allies had architected a plan that would strike hard in the heart of Germany to demolish the German economic and military infrastructure. The plan called for a combined American and British bombing offensive, Combined Bomber Offensive (CBO), against industrial targets to weaken Germany's ability to fight in preparation for an Allied cross-Channel invasion.
It was the very result of the CBO that terminated the Luftwaffe's fighting edge, demolished German war industries, and thus a key preparatory step in allowing the Allies to mount the successful D-Day landing on the European continent.
Allied leaders believed that strategic bombing was the key to victory. Allied leaders had adopted the doctrinal views of strategic bombardment from strategists such as Douhet and Mitchell. By destroying the enemy's industrial sources, it would disrupt the production of German war materials; diminish the necessary resources to run its equipment; and further demoralize its citizens and neutralize its will to fight.
The CBO commenced in July 1943 and ended in April 1945 with the RAF attacking strategic targets at night while American bombers performed precision strike during daylight. The targets were against submarine industry, aircraft industry, oil refineries, ball-bearing factories, transportation systems, and many other secondary objectives including waterways, railways and supply lines. The lack of long-range fighter support and poor weather were major factors in the Allies' early losses.
If we were to apply the nine principles of war to this campaign as way to evaluate its effectiveness, the CBO demonstrated adherence to most of the principles. The major factor that caused some war principles - element of surprise and security - to be less relevant was also due to the lack of fighter escorts. Although the CBO managed to inflict severe damage to Germany's factories and production capabilities, the bomber force also suffered heavy losses in the early stage of the offensive.
Not until mid way through the air campaign when long-range fighter escorts became available that the Allies began to collect successes without paying a heavy price. With the support of long-range escort fighters, bombers were allowed to resume the offensive and eventually brought the German war machine to its knees.
From the start of the conflict, national policy was defined and military strategy was developed to meet its established objectives. Supports from the home front were also crucial to the war effort. It allowed the funding support to create a formidable bomber force with the needed capabilities.
All things considered, from a doctrinal viewpoint, the CBO was a decisive factor in destroying Germany military capability; it demolished industrial and economic systems, and definitely a critical aspect in paving the way for a successful land invasion. The United States Bombing Survey did conclude that Allied air power was decisive in the war in Western Europe. Its power and superiority was the key to the success of the invasion.
The domination of air power cut off the enemy from accessing the basic yet necessary resources such as fuel and aircraft equipment. As the air offensive gained in tempo, the Germans were unable to prevent the decline and eventual collapse of their economy. Although one of the tenets of the CBO was to demoralize the will of the German people, the survey noted that the German morale remained strong despite severe air attacks:
"Their morale, their belief in ultimate victories or satisfactory compromise, and their confidence in their leaders declined, but they continued to work efficiently as long as the physical means of production remains."
To Re-Examine the Short Answer:
Strategic Level:
Yes, in the end, the German economy ultimately collapsed and the daylight bombing raids contributed to surrender of Germany.
However, it is important to note that the bombing efforts did not break the German's people will to fight as hoped by the strategists of the Combined Bomber Offensive (CBO). Like the Battle of Great Britain, the bombing of German industrial, military and civilian targets helped strengthen the resolve of the German people to continue to resist and fight the Allies.
Tactical Level:
Valuable lessons were learned from the Schweinfurt-Regensburg Mission and Black Thursday (Second Schweinfurt Raid) at a terrible price.
The long-range fighter escort (P-51 and P-38) would be a vital necessity to survivability of the American daylight heavy bomber crews to conduct missions deep into Germany.
"Toto, I've [got] a feeling we're not in Kansas anymore." reply share
Of course it was huge mistake by some over ambitious officer. Welcome to politics, career building, cronyism, and a few dozen more human foibles. Military units, corporations, governments often pay for their mistakes with human lives, what's the big surprise?
Someone had to make some decisions about what targets were to be hit and when. Plans were all agreed upon and examined by relevant people, many of whom knew exactly what they were talking about.
You know it's tough to hear about a 'failed' mission when so many brave men fell in battle and ostensibly you can't see any measure of effectiveness. Lt Colonel Bernie Lay Jr noted that, " After we had been under constant attack for an hour it appeared that our group was faced with annihilation'. ....I doubt if a man in the group visualized the possibility of our getting much further without a one hundred percent loss". Of course, we're hearing about the bloodiest air battle at the time. But it stands to reason that raid did indeed put the Luftwaffe and Germany itself back on its heels in that psychologically they knew the Allies were making the statement of knocking on Germany's door and that nothing short of victory was going to be the object. I believe Schweinfurt was the farthest penetration bombers made into German air space at the time and it made the Luftwaffe pay extraordinary attention to their backyard. A demonstration like that had to be worth spades in pressing the war particularly in the way they chose to do it...daytime bombing of Germany's cities and factories. Schweinfurt perhaps 'failed' but nevertheless Germany did succumb to relentless Allied bombing attacks and they never could deal with it especially when the Goering's Luftwaffe collapsed and offered no mprotection against Allied air assaults.
Unfortunately, it's also worth remembering that the raid suffered in part from the vagueries of British and European weather. This was the reason why the second wave of bombers was caught; the Luftwaffe should have been on the ground refuelling but the 10 or 15 minute delay cost the USAAF dearly.
Interesting that nobody has mentioned Spaatz and the Oil Plan. Someone did mention Ploesti, which was the costliest raid of the war (in terms of percentage losses) for the Americans but also probably the most important.
Was Schweinfurt worth it? I think most would agree that it had to be attempted but given the cost/benefit ratio, there may have been other targets more worthy of the effort.
Yes, from the looks of it in hindsight. Not being there when those kinds of life/death decisions makes it hard I think to understand in our armchairs how decisions are arrived at in theaters of war. You know if you take the calculus of every event the Al;lies took in defeating Hitler, you'd have to come to the conclusion that all in all everything was worth it..but some events are more the downpayment towards the absolute successes. War is sure a dirty enterprise.
One benefit was that if they did not destroy the factories or refineries- they killed off the Germans best pilots and shot down their planes faster then they could be replaced.
Not worth it. Actually the entire strategic bombing effort in Europe arguably wasn't worth it; the effort and manpower would've been better spent on more riflemen for the chronically under strength American infantry divisions. Of course the tactical air force was very useful in the actual business of killing German soldiers and helping to move the infantry along.
Obviously the strategic air force was essential in the war against the Japanese, what with the Bomb.
I agree with the strategic aspect of the bombing not being worth it. How would you assess the psychological impact on the allies (military and civilian) of knowing that we were hitting the enemy deep in their own country at a time when we were unable to invade with ground troops?