MovieChat Forums > Avengers: Endgame (2019) Discussion > As the dust settles...we are seeing a bi...

As the dust settles...we are seeing a bit of a scaleback.


Deadline posted 358 million domestic just hours ago but as the smoke clears it appears it wasn't quite that big. They did an abrupt edit with little fanfare to reflect the "real" estimate (I.e. of 350 million). A subtraction of over 8 million as Saturday wasn't as strong as previously reported.

Make no mistake these are GREAT numbers, but after a couple of days of mushrooming numbers I wonder if the reporting from here on out always go in the opposite direction and we see sites retracting projections and adjusting them down?

Those first two days were a fever so it's taking sites a bit of time to adjust to numbers that are actually smaller.

It is fun watching them adapt to changing expectations, though.

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A good analogy is the actual box office being a "car" speeding along and the reporters are the passengers writing about the incredible speed but then the brakes are applied and the car(box office) slows down but the passengers(reporters) keep moving forward for a moment but eventually fall back in their seats and adjust to the newer, slower speed and proceed to edit their reports.

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A good analogy is the actual box office being a "car" speeding along and the reporters are the passengers writing about the incredible speed but then the brakes are applied and the car(box office) slows down but the passengers(reporters) keep moving forward for a moment but eventually fall back in their seats and adjust to the newer, slower speed and proceed to edit their reports.
Terrible, terrible, terrible analogy!
Wouldn't the reporters be reporting on the odometer and the speedometer as the two probable "metrics" and you as a non-reporter would be holding your head out the window and trying to judge what the reporters are doing and thinking, "They're doing it all wrong" because I FEEL a break in the air speed?

The Box Office isn't the car QueenFanUSA, but the road the car is on is, the engine is the Movie and the fans are the fuel which determines how far down the road (The Box office), the car will go.

You keep getting your predictions wrong because you continue to try and lay down in the path of the car on the road hoping and wishing it will stop and you continue to get run over on the way to $357,115,007 which is almost $358 Million. Just like Deadline stated?

Next time you do these projections you should use BillBrown as your GPS. He's doing a much better job at reading the odometer and the speedometer than you are at sticking your head out the window and talking about what the speed FEELS like and ignoring all of the road signs along the way.

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"Next time you do these projections you should use BillBrown as your GPS."


HA!

Were you not following that "GPS" this past holiday season? One of the most laughably erroneous predictors in this board's history.

LOL

Mary Poppins at a 360 million domestic that was going to "easily" outgross Aquaman and posting that Ralph Breaks the Internet was supposedly "beating" the Grinch's Opening Weekend...except it didn't. It was 12 million short.


LOL

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Nice try at deflecting. :-)

So it's agreed and understood then; your analogy is terrible, your attempt at turning the Deadline $358 Million estimation into a referendum on the media's over reliance on their Box office predictions was a bust, BillBrown's predictions are more accurate than your speculations and reportings by multiple millions of dollars, you're still desperately searching for a box office win so you turn to:

Mary Poppins versus Aquaman Domestic Gross?
Ralph Breaks the Internet versus the Grinch's opening Weekends?

Both points for those two films that you two are subjectively disputing that have nothing to do with profitability or quality or part of your hobby?

You want to crow that you're Pro-predictions for a Universal film and a Warner/DC film were more accurate than BillBrown's objective-predictions for a Disney film and a Marvel film?

BillBrown was wrong and you were right? I guess?

What were you correct about and what did an acknowledgement of that have to do with you overstating the media's assessment and Deadline's Domestic Box office prediction for Avengers:Endgame?

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Yeah I figured some of those estimates were a little too big but still, 300 million on opening weekend would be enough to set records. Anything else is just gravy.

The question now is how fast Avengers: Endgame will get to 1 billion.

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If you haven't noticed it already passed 1.2 billion

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"Yeah I figured some of those estimates were a little too big"


Hey...it's understandable to get caught up in the fever and excitement and to start overprojecting. It's just human nature.

There's no denying this is a great start but I have to admit that I'm tickled watching some of these sites try to adjust on a dime!

;)

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Oh no queenie! Da engame have only 354 millions instead of 358 millions! This is very concerning!

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350 million.

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Industry estimates are 354.4m Queenie.

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Hi Queenie

Separately, industry estimates this morning see the opening weekend for Endgame between $356M-$358M, beating Disney’s Sunday AM estimate for the three days of $350M. Sunday, which was always going to be a record outstripping Infinity War‘s $69.2M, looks to be coming in at $90M, -17% from Saturday. Disney will make their numbers official soon.

https://deadline.com/2019/04/avengers-endgame-fandango-presales-opening-weekend-1202603775/

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But if it was WB, you would throwing your arms out in the air praising

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These are great numbers for sure...I'm just having fun(as someone who has always loved following box office reporting) watching sites scramble to adjust to a two-day fever and then today when the fever seems to have"broken".

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lol

the level of delusions in this post is stunning....

Sites are not only NOT Scrambling to scale back projections.....Projections have came in ABOVE in every case....

The ONLY possible thing you could be referring to is Deadlines report that endgame was coming in at 358 M last night....

and The Projections now are 350 to 354 M and WITH EVERY SITE noting the actuals will probably coming in HIGHER!

you JUMPED the gun again....

Endgame is likely to come in over 358 Million tomorrow....



also when you say you were "having fun" ......did you really mean you were experiencing PURE HELL watching EG Obliterate every record in the books, watching CM officially top WW domestically and watching Shazam Collapse with a horrible 66% drop....

lol

PS....

Nice call on "300 Million being out of reach" for EG on Friday

PSS

Nicer call on WRONGLY thinking EG had a HUGE drop in China and questioning if a 300 Million Opening was possible there


PSSS

All time Great call on The "Presales Being overblown" and saying EG would never live up to the expectations and everyone was Hyperventilating

I honestly almost didnt respond to this post because this is clearly not an actual attempt to cast doubt On EGs numbers....You dont actual mean anything you said here....You only made this post because You didnt want to give YOUR ENEMIES here the satisfaction of You acknowledging your EPIC LOSS.....The only purpose of this thread was to Anger people....to INTENTIONALLY create a post that doesnt make sense ....

But I couldnt resist....

I think really the greatest thing about this thread is it backs you into a corner where you Officially are a cartoon....


If your going to troll, If your going to make predictions at a certain point, results have to matter...

You just proved by making this thread....It Truly does not Matter to you what the results are...A Film can Literally Break every Box office record there is and You still are going to Ignore the results

your a cartoon...lol



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Bill...yes...these results are great and larger than I predicted but this thread is about how the hysteria of the first two days got Deadline and other people to over project...and then quickly scale back in the cold light of day.

You have to admit it was funny, right?

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Ok I'm done....

Like when you tried to change trolling tactics when all your predictions failed on CM and I told you Im not even going to entertain your desperate attempts to change trolling tactics....

this thread is not real....Your simply trying to come up with a way to stick it to the people that hate you because you know were laughing at u

There are a half of dozen major sites.....and over the weekend EG kept coming in above Projections on every 1 of them

Variety,Beadline,Boxofficemojo,Boxoffice.com,forbes, and many others all projected-

260 to 300 Million on Thurdays and 850 to Maybe 1 Billion for a Global Debut

Then EG broke the MN record, and Projections went up to 300 M+ still 850 to 1 B WW

Then early results came in for friday projecting EG was gonna have a 130 to 140 OD, and all sites started projecting 315 to 330 M and Now 1 Billion WW was being projected based on early overseas results

Then Late Friday came With Projections of a possible 340 to 349 M OW and Maybe a 1.1 Billion Global debut

Then late saturday comes where Every site except Deadline report 350 M+ and 1.2 Billion Global....DL is the only site reporting 358 M(a site you quote every weekend)

you cant just make stuff up...you can make fake thread all you want and Pretend to be happy, but you cant LIE and say say "sites and People" are scrambling to down scale projections....

EG literally came in above projections every step of the way, ON Every single site....

The 1 deadline projection you are quoting is In fact going to turn out right.....you are conveniently leaving out, that all sites are reporting when actual numbers come to tomorrow EG is going to come in Higher....

EG is going to probably come very close to Deadlines 358 M Projection....

The same thing happened With BOTH Avengers and Black Panther which are the only 2 other MCU film to have an A+ cinemascore.....Avengers was projected for 200 M+ and then actuals came in 7 Million higher

Black Panther was projected to make 194 M then actuals were 202 M


If you going troll fine....But stop Literally LYING and Making stuff up...

again If you want to pretend your happy instead of actually being in PURE HELL fine....

But you cant just LIE and delusionally say "the 2 day say fever is over" sites over projected....

every single site under projected all weekend long, Endgame came in HIGHER at every turn and the 1 site that said 358 M has the backing of all other sites predicting EGs actuals will come in Higher than 350 M+


PS....Thoughts on Shazam's collapse which now guarantees a sub 150 domestic gross ans Sub 400 Million WW gross.....Man what happened to that "Bad Boys" Legs....

damn, How you gonna spin this one, in your own words, by your own break even point of 360 M...Shazam Is ONLY going to break even ...

I guess that one box office analyst you pretended to quote was wrong about Shazam "Just Plays and PLays"

but hey speaking of "Just Plays and PLays".....CM confirmed one of my predictions this weekend, 3 weeks ago I said CM would be making more on a daily basis than Shazam by Shazams 5th weekend...good for me, Brutally embarrassing for Shazam...

oh and I almost feel Like this is the "He who shall not be named" news....I feel like your avoiding this news and topic with such dread I should PM it to you...but its official CM topped WW domestically...bringing a fitting end to your BIGGEST trolling fail of all time....


If you feel like responding to anything I said here,,,If you dont mind reply in another thread...I truly dont want to comment again in this fake thread....

as I said, I dont want to entertain your attempt to change trolling topics and This is clearly not a real thread.


also if your going to continue just making up LIES dont reply at all....I want the old queen back where you actually try to fight and defend your failures....

Not this new Queen that decided to Intentionally lie because You cant Move the goal posts anymore

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"the one deadline projection of 358 million is going to come out right."

Wrong again. Lol. Box office guru is saying 355 this morning.

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Dude, just stop. too much cringe

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Because the 3 million dollar difference is obviously Marvels financial undoing!

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Why don't you post links to support your claims?

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"the one deadline projection of 358 million is going to come out right."

Wrong again. Lol. Box office guru is saying 355 this morning.

^^^^^


Right....


Exhibitor Relations Co.
‏ @ERCboxoffice
2h2 hours ago

Marvel’s AVENGERS: ENDGAME smashed estimates—$356M domestic, $866M int’l, $1.222B worldwide. That’s just how Marvel rolls.


356....exactly where deadline projected....

You jumped the gun EPIC fail!

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Really, a 3-8 million difference in a projection based on incomplete numbers from Saturday and Sunday. A projection based on really the best intentions because this is an unprecedented event, where they have nothing to compare for their guessing, nothing like this has ever happened in the history of Box Office. And that is what makes you happy? At least with everything against them, they made a very accurate projection. However, what about you?

YOU QUEENFANUSA MISSED THIS ONE FOR 100 MILLIONS DOLLARS WHEN YOU SAID ENDGAME WAS NOT EVEN GOING TO MAKE INFINITY WAR NUMBERS. AND WE CAN GO ON AND ON WITH ALL YOUR FAILED PREDICTIONS. LIKE THE ONE IN WHICH YOU BET YOUR LIFE THAT CAPTAIN MARVEL WILL NOT BEAT WONDER WOMAN DOMESTIC BOX OFFICE.

[–] QueenFanUSA (1660) 18 hours ago

Bill...yes...these results are great and larger than I predicted but this thread is about how the hysteria of the first two days got Deadline and other people to over project...and then quickly scale back in the cold light of day.

You have to admit it was funny, right?


NO, FUNNY IS WATCHING YOU MISS AND MISS AND MISS EVERY SINGLE PREDICTION YOU MAKE ABOUT MARVEL/DISNEY. FUNNY IS WATCHING DISNEY MAKING YOU LOOK LIKE AN EVEN DUMBER TROLL. FUNNY IS SEEING AS YOU TRY TO DOWNPLAY DISNEY/MARVEL AND LIE, MISINFORM AND CONCOCT TO MAKE EVERY DC FILM LOOK BETTER THAN IT REALLY WAS. FUNNY IS WATCHING YOU FAIL AGAIN AND AGAIN.

WHEN YOU LOOK BACK TO THIS THREAD AND ALL YOUR PAST POSTS, ONE CAN ONLY ASK HIMSELF, WHY DOES QUEENIE TRIES SO HARD TO PRESENT HIMSELF AS AN IDIOT? BUT AFTER SOME TIME I THINK I HAVE THE ANSWER, YOU ARE NOT A TROLL, YOU ARE **** A STUDIO SHILL **** PLANTED HERE LONG AGO. I JUST HOPE THIS JOB IS MAKING YOU ENOUGH MONEY TO LIVE, BECAUSE YOU ARE BAD AT IT...

YOU ARE A STUDIO SHILL, THAT'S WHY YOU KEEP BUMPING THIS STUPID THREAD...

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[deleted]

No, we aren't. It's merely the latest in your never-ending string of wishful thinking posts. Currently, a round-number estimate of $350 million is up, holding the place for the exact figure, which will come in soon. That number is reported to be larger than $350 million. Even if it is less than $358 million, it will be what? $355? $354? Even if it's $350 that can only be labeled a "scaleback" by someone desperate to find even a shred of negativity in what has been an unprecedented, glorious win for Disney.

I get it, you're a troll. Maybe the best one I've seen because you keep up your aww shucks guys demeanor in the face of anything anyone says. That's why I bother to reply, by the way. I have a long-standing Don't Feed the Troll policy, but I make an exception for you because you put real effort into your trolling. :)

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I'm commenting on media reaction to the film and the very understandable traits of human nature and not the film's performance per se.

That"s not "trolling". That's called "having a conversation".

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I'm commenting on media reaction to the film and the very understandable traits of human nature and not the film's performance per se.

^^

no you made a FAKE thread because you want to SPITE troll because You knew all your enemies on this site was laughing at you and your FAILS...so you made an Intentionally Absurd thread pretending to be happy to try and stick it to your enemies...

lol you do realize this thread basically comes down to you are claiming 1 site over projected on EG by 2 Million dollars right....

thats it, The truly all you have....

every single other Box office site, Literally a half of dozen, EG came in over projections every step of the way....

lol your entire FAKE claim that The Media over Reacted to EGs box office...Literally comes down to Deadline NAILING there projection CLOSER than any other Site!

lol Every other SITE Under Estimated and Missed by 6 MILLION....

Deadline Over estimated and Missed by 2 million...

the one site you are FAKELY(is that a word?) pointing to claim Media over reacted, Is In fact The BEST actual projection....

I wish this was real....I would love to quote you over the next year with this EPIC fail ...unfortunately I cant ...this isnt a real thread you dont actual believe anything you said here...

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They actually over estimated it by a giant, huge and gargantuan 900K. That's a enormous 0.25% miss. Ha, ha, ha, ha... Poor Queenie...

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If you aren't trolling, you should be because your conversations are always the same two things-- either you making ridiculous statements trying to downplay any Disney success or you making equally ridiculous statements trying to sugarcoat another studio's failure to keep pace with Disney.

That said, looks like your "scaleback" was less than you anticipated. Instead of $358 million, the film opened to "only" $357 million. :)

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This is sad. Endgame is already setting records and its first weekend isn't even over yet. Hell, it set records with pre-sold tickets. Yet Queenie is once again pretending the movie is underperforming.

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No...I started this thread and discussion focused on the press REACTION as the box office results become clearer.

As I said before...these numbers are outstanding. But I'm tickled to watch the media get caught up in the hysteria only to realize they need to adjust down once the dust settles.

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This article was published less than an hour ago.

https://www.foxnews.com/entertainment/avengers-endgame-box-office-record?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A%20foxnews%2Fentertainment%20%28Internal%20-%20Entertainment%20-%20Mixed%29

It says that the movie was predicted to open between 260-300 million but opened at 350 domestically and 1.2 billion globally. It has exceeded expectations.

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Yes...but there was a hysteria yesterday and last night in the speculation that had to be scaled back in the light of day. It's fun to watch the scramble to adjust downward.

Still...350 million is an amazing result no question.

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Can you post the articles you're talking about?

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Adjusting downward a total of $8million for a movie that just did $1.2BILLION in 5 days...... theres more "hysteria" to your proclamation than there is in the media.

Oh, by the way, Wonder Woman just got beaten by Captain Marvel domestically.... care to comment?

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The new, light-of-day, downward adjustment of 8 million was for the domestic total NOT the global total.

Big difference(as I'm sure you know).

Nice try, though.

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OK, so a downgrade of $8million out of $350MILLION, that still doesn't make YOU look less hysterical than the people you claim were hysterical for posting it at $358million.

And still, WONDER WOMAN???????? No comment on that yet?

You can't run away from it.

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Like a lot of people, I was surprised that Endgame had the coattails to drag CM over the finish line...but it did.

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the best part is.....

He JUMPED the gun....

Every site that is reporting the 350 Million Number...is also NOTING EG is almost certainly going to come in higher tomorrow when the actuals come in....

EG is actually going to End up exactly where Deadline projected...

He did the same thing with Captain Marvel and it Failed Miserably....

He Guaranteed deadline was over projecting Captain Marvel's 154 Million OW....and Guaranteed the actuals would come in near 150 Million ....

instead When the actuals came in above 154 Million....Queen Vanished


Tomorrow when EG comes in right where Deadline projected or higher....Queen Wont Be Pretending to "Have Fun"

Queen, Just had the worst Weekend in his trolling history, A weekend that resulted in PURE HELL while

watching EG Obliterate every record in the books
watching CM officially top WW domestically
and watching Shazam Collapse with a horrible 66% drop

This thread is proof of that....Queen doesnt actual mean anything hes saying in this thread.

Queen made this thread because he know all of his enemies here on this forum are laughing at him and Taking JOY in his Epic failures and LOSSES this weekend..

so he intentionally made this absurd and delusional thread to anger people, He's refusing to acknowledge his failures, He refusing to Acknowledge We won....so He makes a thread pretending that hes happy....


The Level at which Queen failed this weekend is almost beyond anything I've ever seen...

Friday, He prematurely Made a Troll thread claiming that since EG made 43 M in Thursday Previews "300 M was out of reach now and then claimed it will be interesting to see if EG even tops IW".....lol Queen no doubt is feeling incredible regret and Shame for this, ONLY Queen could Mess up that Badly.

Then on the same day, He Misunderstood EGs Chinese Box office, and WRONGLY thought EG was a having a HUGE drop that was going to result in EG not opening to 300 Million In China....lol Queen hilariously applied domestic box office

rules to China box office and had no clue what he was talking about, EG Ended up coming in Above the 300 M+ projections in China with 329 M+....again Queen has to feel deep shame and kinda just plain Dumb, I told Him "just the fact that you are asking the question I am still sure EG is gonna top 300 M in China" was the ultimate proof he doesnt understand box office.....He got a hard Lesson and confirmation of that

Next We Shazam coming In with a Disastrous 66% 4th weekend drop, ending any chance of a 150 M+ domestic total, and hilariously coming right after Queen Shamelessly tried to claim Shazam was having great legs and "Just plays and Plays"....ONLY queen could Mistake a completely average easter hold for Great legs, brag about them and then the next weekend the film collapses

and Finally we have IMO the worst of it for Queen...sure you'd think a 350 M +Opening would Kill queen most.....but actually The 8 M+ weekend for CM is what KILLED Queen most....

I've been ABUSING Queen for almost 2 years now, and I can honestly say, Queen has never been More invested in a single trolling topic than he was with "CM not topping WW domestically"

This was Queen LIFE LINE, something he only went after all other predictions failed...He went to it because he was 1000% confident CM had no chance of topping WW domestically....

He then spent the next 1 month + guaranteeing it over 30 times...

simply put, I dont think Queen has ever been MORE CONFIDENT in a trolling topic, and To Have the Trolling topic BLOW UP in His face!

I have no doubt, Queen having to watch CM top WW domestically KILLED him More than anything thats ever happen on these boards.

Its been clear for 2 weeks now that CM was going to beat WW domestically and Queen has yet to even touch the subject....Queen only does that, Only Vanishes and refuses to acknowledge a FAIL WHEN it KILLS him Most

This weekend has resulted in PURE HELL for Queen..He knows he WE Know it

so he made a thread pretending to be happy

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...but like a rock'em sock'em from our childhood, he'll be back for more.

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This is ridiculous.

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this is a very, very lame troll tbh.

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As Deadline reported it's $356M+

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Official

357.1

exactly where DL projected......


Man queen goodluck "having fun" with that that .9 M disparity .....lololollol

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I'm curious to see if he has the balls to reply now and what will he say , well let's grab some popcorn...

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He'll reply....

He will Spite Troll....

He'll act like its a HUGE deal it came up 900 K short...


at this point for Queen its not actually about trolling on EG...hes knows that Impossible..

Now he Trolling US...

He'd rather Make absurd threads and brag about stupid things than actual stay quiet and Let us think He embarrassed..

He watched the results this weekend, He knew EGs was box office was Unearthly and trollproof, He knew we were all making fun of him and waiting for him to come back and face his failures.

but instead he decided to troll US....To Intentionally make A thread where He bragged about something absurd and Minimal

Its his way of actually showing us He JUST TROLLING and nothing he says is for real...

at some point , results have to matter....If you going to come on these boards and give predictions and talk....at some point results have to matter, I get sometime you could argue and feel passionately about stuff....But at some point, if you want to even remotely be taken seriously Results have to matter...

This was Queen way of showing us, I'm trolling you guys....EG just broke every box office record there is, and I'm still dont care...I'm going to Troll you guys with a thread bragging that it came up short!

this is no longer about being right or wrong for Queen...I think at 1 point it was...I think Queen first started out Trolling movies, actually giving real predictions and at least somewhat was being real

Unfortunately I think over the last year Queen has failed so many times and has Finally realized He really bad at box office, That Hes kinda been pushed over the edge...

Now I think Queen Just SPITE TROLLS.

I think The second he realizes one of his predictions is going to fail....He instantly moves on from trolling on the movie to trolling US....

for him its no longer about if hes going to be right or wrong, Its How can He NOT Let his enemies Get the satisfaction of Him acknowledging His failure and LOSSES...

Thus we are getting absurd threads now where He Bragging about Absurd,Meaningless and Minimal Things

He's Making FAKE threads pretending Hes happy, instead of acknowledging He was wrong and failed....Its all about NOT GIVING us the satisfaction of Him admitting he was wrong...

lol last week instead of just admitting he was wrong about Shazam having Great Legs....He Made a FAKE troll threads pretending to be happy about Shazam having a pathetic 1 million dollar Bump in Box office...

Queen has officially got to the point where He LYING and Cheating now because he's he cant Win...

Before Queen would fight,crawl and defend his awful predictions down to the last possible second before finally Admitting he was wrong and taking the walk of Shame...

Now Queen has just been pushed over the edge by so many failures, He's Will to LIE,Cheat and Pretend to be Happy in order to Troll us and keep from acknowledging his fails...

lol Queen Will respond...and He will shamefully act like He WAS RIGHT and act like its a Massive deal EG made 900 K less than Deadline predicted.....Its no longer about Logic or facts....Queen has lost it, This is about trolling US now..

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PREDICTION: Tomorrow Quenn will make a thread calling out Endgame for falling short as the best Monday ever, record belonging to Black Panther in a Holiday ( but he wouldn't care). Bet you 10 dollars...

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