Star Wars 9 will bomb even harder

its difficult to say if 9 will underperform and end up with a humiliating 600-700m or end up doing similar to TLJ 1.3b (or even more if everyone kind of digs it like TFA)

On the plus side - its the conclusion of the trilogy, JJ is back (no doubt to steer it back to being a crowd pleaser after TLJ), it'll be a year and a half wait (so unlike Solo will build anticipation) and its back to Decemeber

and on the negative - will the TLJ online backlash and Solos disastrous box office have any bearing?

=???

It's going to be very interesting. I've no doubt that Solo was hit hard by TLJ despite them not being directly linked so you'd think audiences will be even less likely to want to see IX. Then you have to consider that TLJ has given IX nowhere to go and JJA's track record with endings....

Then you've got a lot people sensing a change in the wind with many of KK's supporters beginning to distance themselves and actually calling for her to go, none of which looks good for IX.

This said the first two made over a billion each and seem to be very popular with the blogging classes so anything could happen! I think the only certainty is that the meta bollocks surrounding Star Wars will continue to be far more interesting than anything that happens on screen.

Solo is positioned to lose between $50 and $80 million at this point.

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/heat-vision/solo-will-post-first-loss-disneys-star-wars-empire-1116927

I think Episode IX will definitely be well under $1 billion, probably in the $700-800 million range but probably won't lose money. Fan reviews of Solo are much better than TLJ and a number of people who wrote off going to see it in the theaters (like me) will end up seeing it on cable before IX comes out. If they enjoy it, some of those folks may end up getting suckered back into the theater for IX.

We can only hope. This shit needs to change.

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Unlikely , if will still do fine domestic, but may miss 1 billion

The only reason for me to watch IX would be to see how bad it is. I'm sure there are quite a few others who'll go to the theatre just to see how much of a trainwreck Star Wars has become.