Is 700-800 million worldwide realistic?
Or is 600 something that Marvel should hope for?
Budget will probably be close to 200 million
But it will have been 4 years since the last Thor film (and 2 years since his Age of Ultron appearance). will fans be full of glee to see him again?
I bet it has average opening weekend, but it blows people's minds, and word of mouth keeps it in theaters for a month and it hits a billion.
I think this will be Thor's equivalent of Civil War, as to popularity.
The Jane love arc is what drug them down since the beginning.
This will be all action.
To be with another woman, that is French. To get caught, that is American.
I bet it has average opening weekend, but it blows people's minds, and word of mouth keeps it in theaters for a month and it hits a billion.
My gut feeling is GOTG 2 will be like AoU to Avengers. Good, but just not quite as epic.
Vs a Thor with no Portman, plus a Hulk, and the only villain of note in the MCU returning, Loki.
It will be the sleeper.
To be with another woman, that is French. To get caught, that is American.
Thor: Ragnarok has the potential to hit 1 billion... No question about it. I'm not saying it'll be easy... But, it's definitely within their reach... Marvel just needs to stretch out, and grab it.
I personally believe, it'll hit just over 1 billion dollars, on a budget of 250 - 300.
I believe it could hit a billion too; do you think it could even with the Justice League releasing two weeks after?
shareI believe JL, good or bad, will hit a billion. With Ragnarok it's possible, but with JL, it's a far gone conclusion. Now, if Ragnarok can be acclaimed, word of mouth and Marvel fans will push the numbers nicely... However, what will push them to the home stretch, is the curiosity of; Is Ragnarok better than JL or not. Without critical acclaim, word of mouth dwindles, and the hype around JL's first outing, will overpower, good, or bad.
shareI'm actually questioning if JL will make a billion. I'm not saying it won't or that its not possible, but it won't be the first time we see Batman, Superman, and Wonder Woman on screen together. That happened in BvS and that didn't make a billion. It was supposed to be the event movie of the year, featuring the trinity for the first time ever should've easily made a billion.
Hopefully Ragnarok making a billion within its first two weeks won't be too far out of its reach.
WHOA... Don't get me wrong, Ragnarok hitting a billion in 2 weeks would be AMAZING... And that would shatter so many records... From The Avengers, to Furious 8, to Star Wars... And I'd love it... But maaan... Very unlikely, hahaha...
The Reason I believe, and really know, that JL will hit a billion is because, BvS made $880 million... All it needed is an extra $120 million. Affleck's Batman was a hit and so, people will want to see him again. Superman, is a DC gem, a box office draw card. The atmosphere around JL will be a buzz. The anticipation around Flash is a stand alone piece of excitement and Aquaman... There is some curiosity there as to what Snyder will do with him.
Then, if JL's critical rating is high, it's done deal. If it's low, it'll create that "You have to see it for yourself" thing, all over again... With all of that, at the very least, JL will make as much as BvS, and then from there... It just needs $120 million more. Also, DC fans won't just sit back, and watch JL make less than a billion, when Marvel made $1.5 billion, with their Avengers debut.
Don't get me wrong, Ragnarok hitting a billion in 2 weeks would be AMAZING... And that would shatter so many records... From The Avengers, to Furious 8, to Star Wars... And I'd love it... But maaan... Very unlikely, hahaha...
If Ragnarok can hit a $185 million O/W domestic, and a $250 million O/W WW... thus a $435 million O/W overall, which is very achieveable... Drop maybe 45% 2nd week (assuming critical acclaim), to $240 million... That'll be $680 in 2 weeks... From there... If it stays in theatres til' after Christmas... It can slowly rack up $320 million in 6 weeks during JL and Rogue One... Which is just doing half, in 3x the period. This for me, seems very possible.
Also, it has a lot to do with how well received GotG Vol. 2 and Homecoming, Wonder Woman are.
I also think, like DCEU, Star Wars: TFA actually suffered a major backlash from fans, so, that may deter it enough, for Ragnarok and JL to gain a little ground.
JL will probably hit an opening just as big, or bigger than BvS and Ragnarok(assumed numbers)... From there, the 4 weeks between it's release and Rogue One's release, it'll probably be trekking higher than Ragnarok... So, a week before Rogue One: After 5 weeks, Ragnarok (with good reviews) may be on $880 million ($200 million more). JL (even with bad reviews), 3 weeks will be on $900 - $950 million.
So JL, will hit the billion 1st, then Ragnarok will soon follow - again, assuming critical acclaim. If JL is well received... It could do $500+ million O/W... Then, Ragnarok could be in trouble.