I get what the others have said, about him subtly manipulating everyone, but you raise a very good point: if the water and electricity had killed Vince and Gabe, what was the killer's plan for turning off the electricity after that?
It seems like there are way too many variables for that to have worked like it did, or for the killer to know that that's how it would've happened.
I mean for shit's sake, Gabe shot holes in the wall and fucking spidered across there to turn off the power, AFTER Vince had let him out of his cuffs to do that, etc. Just so much that could've very easily gone a different way.
Then again real-life profilers can be incredibly specific with their "predictions" (for lack of a better word), so I guess it's possible the guy knew how things would unfold.
They were all still just in training to become profilers, but I'm sure that the killer was already way smarter than all of them anyway.
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