We'll yes the CIA officials are hoping Muir will give them the pretext they need to justify letting Bishop die. At the same time if he was adjudged as being some type of pseudo James Bond, it's inferred they'd begin negotiations for his release but weakening the US position in the trade talks. The dirt you talk of is the pretext.
Neither side wanted the incident blown up in the media. Yes he was scheduled for execution, but if that occurred and was leaked to the media the Chinese would look bad. Muir of course doesn't want to reveal his hand to the suits. In the end he constructs an escape in which everyone wins, except Muir who uses his life savings to fund the operation at the Chinese end, but assuages his guilt over never realising the extent of Bishop's feelings for Hadley.
It did make sense to me.
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