Another parallel -
In (1), Solozzo makes an attempt on Vito after meeting resistance to his plans in the drug trade, whereas the next in line, Sonny, would in theory be more co-operative (hot for his deal etc)
In (2), Roth makes an attempt on Michael after meeting resistance to his dealings in Cuba, whereas the next in line, Fredo, would be more co-operative (no 'in theory' needed this time!)
Both attempts fail
And even if they'd succeeded, both attempts would have backfired
In (1), Sonny would never have gone in to business with the guy who killed his father - why would anyone?! The all out war Sonny escalates is, I imagine, pretty much what would have happened had Vito died in 1945.
And in (2), can you really see Fredo being made Don?! Granted, Michael would have been dead and so couldn't formally put Tom or anyone else in charge, but Fredo taking over would have seen all Michael's muscle and business and legal support walk away, or the Corleone family crumble to the point where their fully supporting Roth's business would have meant nothing.
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