Just realized it, Beto and the candidate who wins the California primary will be the automatic top two contenders because of the large number of delegates allocated, which probably undermines and wipes out the female candidates (California likely goes to Bernie Sanders)
shareI mean, both of the primaries are on Super Tuesday, so it's moderately early on, but at the same time, with the massive amount of candidates, I sort of wonder how many will drop out before they even get close to Super Tuesday. O'Rourke would probably be on my list of top ten candidates most likely to drop out beforehand.
shareHe's not dropping out before Super Tuesday (??? Texas is that day, that's his state, none of the candidates have any chance there with him running), he automatically wins Texas, the delegate allocation he will get will make him one of the two top candidates, how far his campaign lasts beyond that is unknowable, with so many candidates, the candidates with money and delegates will stay in for as long as they can, Beto's Senate campaign broke Senate election fundraising campaign records, he's not dropping out before his own state's election and he likely will not drop out afterwards for a while, his campaign is in it for the long run.
shareIce cold take.
He got a massive amount of funds (from out of state) because he was running against a Republican. Now he's running against Kamala Harris. The big donors don't care about this goofball. He's not even the right demographics. He's only useful to the establishment for splitting up the wacky vote. They'll tell him when to step down.
I don't believe many people outside of the internet know who Kamala Harris is.
Biden and Sanders dominate so far, note Kamala only leads California when Biden and Sanders are not on the list
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2020_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries
The candidates with a household name are Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and Beto O'Rourke.
Kamala Harris's campaign was over the moment it started because of her prosecutorial career, "the left" have already viciously torn her apart because of that. She was actually one of the candidates I thought would surge and remain surging but Bernie Sanders' entry derailed that. Her career record is the real thing (which I have no problem with, it's complex, she did everything right), her record is what "the left" are looking at, not her campaign agenda. The smear campaign against her is one of the worst.
Attack ads will be hilarious!
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/beto-orourke-wrote-poem-asking-a-cow-to-wax-my-ass-and-scrub-my-balls
There won't be any, he owns the Texas Democratic primary. It's also an open primary, some of the Republicans who voted for him for the Senate may throw a vote his way in the primary to make sure he wins big over the "leftist" candidates.
shareI was referring to Nov 2020 attack ads.
If I were Republican, I would prefer more dumb socialists (AOC). Muslims from Sudan and Palestine are great, David Duke loves them.
He lost Texas to Ted Cruz. Why would you think he’d win Texas against — name that ridiculous number of candidates.
Not everyone’s hat is in the ring yet. If the Dems would just field some somewhat moderate candidate that didn’t want to murder babies a moment before they’re born, they might stand a chance in the next election. If someone who wasn’t a homicidal maniac ran in the primaries, chances are they’d win Texas, and “Beto” could eat dirt again.
https://i.redd.it/p4cfnkouebn21.jpg
shareI learned a long time ago not to go to links that didn’t give me clue one what they were about. And, of course, never to go to links from openly hostile people.
share