Is John Roberts going to vote down the citizenship question on the census?
Taking bets. Ginsberg kicking the bucket is the only way it can pass.
shareTaking bets. Ginsberg kicking the bucket is the only way it can pass.
shareI'm really concerned about this. I've seen mixed signals out of Roberts.
This is shaping up to perhaps be the most important and consequential case since the disastrous Citizens United ruling. Most people don't quite grasp the import. If the census question is allowed it paves the way for a future court case in which states are allowed to redistrict on the basis on eligible voters rather than population. This will create districts that will provide significantly more power to rural, older, and less immigrant-heavy districts and lock in political dominance for Republican leaning regions as well as the allocation of federal funds. It will also tell us whether the Supreme Court is going to uphold its institutional integrity or buckle under Trump as so many institutions and norms have crumbled in the last two years.
It's going to be a nail biter. But last year’s decision to uphold the Muslim ban isn't a good omen.