Not yet. China would probably win that war, but it would take a huge toll. They can slowly increase the pressure and take it in a few decades without risk.
US army is aging fast. And the last meritocratic generation is retiring. In a few decades, the US army will be a bunch of incompetent people using a pile of junk.
Think South Africa. Several decades ago, South African army was small in size, but extremely effective, one of the best in the world. Right now, the SA Air Force can't even take off. It took only three decades of black rule, so you know the future of US and how fast you're gonna be there. China knows it too. And btw, when I say it can't even take off, this is no joke. The South African air force is unoperative right now:
https://mybroadband.co.za/news/security/396335-most-south-african-air-force-aircraft-systems-unavailable.html
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