What do you think will be nominated for best picture at the Oscars?

Now that the Golden Globe nominations, SAG award nominations, and Critics Choice nominations have been announced, what films do you think will get nominated for best picture at the Oscars?

Here are my predictions: (in order of how likely they are to get nominated)
A Star is Born (my predicted winner)
Roma
The Favourite
Green Book
Blackkklansman
Vice
If Beale Street Could Talk

Other potential contenders:
Black Panther (I don't think it deserves to be nominated though)
Mary Poppins Returns
Bohemian Rhapsody

Long shots:
First Man
First Reformed
Eighth Grade

Movies that won't get nominated, but I think deserve to:
Avengers Infinity War
Isle of Dogs
Hereditary